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Investing Like an Entrepeneur
Bloomberg-Clip • Jun. 19, 2007. 11:00 AM EST
Analysis and Discussion with Featured Guest Mohnish Pabrai of Pabrai Investment Funds: Stocks More Affected By Micro Factors than Macro Economy; Entrepeneurs Are Good at Handling Uncertainty - High Uncertainty, Low Risk
Transcript:
erformer.
it is down about 3% on the
session as well.
i wanted to ask our guest here,
mohnish pabrai, your thoughts
on seeing consumer staples in
discretionary selling off today,
gasoline at $3 a gallon -- sort
of your thoughts on the consumer
and housing thing.
is this a group that you would
be a buyer into right now?
>> well, it is not a meaningful
enough data point for us to do
anything with.
these are -- this is the noise
level.
i think we are generally
interested in things that the
world is totally uninterested
in.
i do not think we are at those
points at best buy and home
depot and so on yet.
>> that is supposedly what makes
you so successful, is that you
go on -- you go after copy
you go after companies that are
unloved.
you have just written a book
that talks about the ways that
create wealth.
that is actually what it means.
how do people create wealth?
what are some of these
strategies you are using?
>> i am a better investor
because i'
m a businessman, and i
am a better businessman because
i am in vester.
-- because i -- i am a better
businessman because i am an
investor.
if you apply that same framework
to running a business, even a
small gas station or a
mcdonald'
s franchise, it is
exactly the same.
let'
s say a neighborhood gas
station came on sale and it was
offered to you at $1 million.
the question you would ask is,
how much gas does it produce?
how is that cash flow going to
change of the next 10 years?
in about five or 10 years, how
much can i sell it for?
how is the population going to
change?
> they seem like pretty basic
questions.
>> but you would not be asking,
what will interest rates do in
the next three years?
you would not even really care
that much about oil prices
unless it goes through pretty
dramatic changes.
so the micro factors in most
businesses, the macro factors.
if i am a gas station owner,
what affects me is if another
one opens across the street or
not, not what opec does.
so when you own stocks, you
ought to think of them as pieces
of businesses that you own and
ask the same question.
if it is going to cost me 100
billion to buy it, does it
produce cash flow every year and
how will that change?
>> in describing this, it sounds
an awful lot like an
entrepreneur.
when you started, is that when
you started to adopt?
did you find anything
exceptional
out the way that
entrepreneurs approach
businesses?
>> yes, i think a lot of
aspects that entrepreneurs
proceed from can apply to the
stock market.
there is a concession that
entrepreneurs are risk takers.
in reality, entrepreneurs avoid
risk.
they try to minimize risk.
they tried to do everything to
absolutely minimize the
downside.
but they are also humans who are
very comfortable with
uncertainty.
they want to make sure that the
downside is protected.
in the book i talk about the
patels, and it -- an immigrant
group of refugees that came to
the u.s.
they now own 50% of all the
motels in the country.
they did that by taking a very
low-risk, high-uncertainty
approach to business bid
he
same thing -- approach to
business.
the same thing with richard
branson.
>> how do you apply that to
picking stocks?
there has to be sort of a
security built into the stock?
>> yes.
the way it applies to picking
stocks is that the first thing
is returning of capital is more
important than return on
capital.
the return off capital is more
important than the return on
capital.
>> all right, mohnish, hang on
just a second because we are
going to talk more about this.
we are going to take a break.

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